The outcome of today’s Democratic primary in Pennsylvania is becoming difficult to predict.

As a result, political analysts are relying on the various polls to determine who may be the winner.

The Quinnipiac University shows that Sen. Hillary Clinton is in the lead by 7 points. The New York Senator has 51% of the votes while Sen. Barack Obama has 44%.

Poll Results:

Pollster	Survey dates	Likely voters surveyed	Leader/margin
Rasmussen	4/20	722	Clinton +5
Zogby/Newsmax	4/19-20	602	Clinton +6
Suffolk	4/19-20	600	Clinton +10
PPP	4/19-20	2338	Obama +3
Strategic Vision	4/18-20	1200	Clinton +7
Quinnipiac	4/18-20	1027	Clinton +7
SurveyUSA	4/18-20	710	Clinton +6

Suffolk University’s poll showed that Clinton is strong among female votes. She has 57 percent to Obama’s 38 percent among women voters. Among senior voters, Clinton has the support of 54 percent to 40 percent. Obama has taken the lead among men with 53 percent to Clinton’s 42 percent, and also, as expected, has the support of younger voters with 57 percent to 41 percent.

Clinton made a campaign stop today in Scranton to address supporters.

She said, “I know you don’t need another speech, you’re already convinced. I know that you understand why you are working so hard because it’s not about me, it’s about us. Because we have to do this together, and you know that I will never forget, I will never forget the people here.”

During an appearance in McKeesport on Monday evening, Obama pushed his readiness to lead, citing Clinton’s vote to authorize the war in Iraq.

“There are three candidates left. Who do you want answering that 3 a.m. phone call: The person who got Iraq wrong or the person who got Iraq right? . . . We need someone who knows how to use diplomacy,” he said. “We will make America more safe, that’s my commitment when I’m president of the United States of America.”

Obama camp also played the expectations game, stating on a Pittsburgh radio station KDKA that he was “not predicting a win” in a state that heavily favored Clinton by almost 20 points six weeks ago.

“I’m predicting it’s going to be close and that we are going to do a lot better than people expect,” Obama said.

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Filed under: TheRag